Hickory Area Happenings!

After years of suppressed supply, U.S. housing inventory is seeing a significant boost. As of July 2025, active home listings rose nearly 25% year-over-year—the 21st straight month of growth—bringing national inventory above 1 million for the third month in a row. States like Nevada (+52.9%), Maryland (+48.2%), and North Carolina are leading the surge New York Post.

Yet, despite more choices, affordability remains the market’s most pressing challenge. According to the National Association of REALTORS®, 25% of buyers cite housing affordability as their top concern, followed by hopes for lower mortgage rates (19%) and lingering inventory shortages (17%) National Association of REALTORS®. Mortgage rates for 15-year loans could dip to around 5.5% in late 2025—but prices are still climbing, making timing decisions tricky Ramsey Solutions+1.

2. A Market Tilt Toward Moderate Regional Growth

National home values are inching upward—home prices have seen modest gains of around 2–3% year-over-year HouseCanaryHAR.com. Still, growth isn’t evenly distributed. Smaller and more affordable markets—like Brunswick, GA (up 7.1%), Grand Island, NE (6.3%), and Glens Falls, NY (5.9%)—are outperforming many larger urban areas HouseCanary. At the same time, once-booming markets in Florida are cooling sharply, placing among the coldest in 2025, as rising property taxes and insurance costs dampen buyer enthusiasm Business Insider. Homes are also spending more time on the market in cities like Nashville, Orlando, Miami, and Tucson New York Post.

3. A Window of Opportunity on the Horizon

Experts now see the U.S. housing market in a “post-rate-cut opportunity” phase. A combination of easing mortgage rates, shifting investor behavior—including renewed bets from the likes of Warren Buffett—and adjustments in macroeconomic policy are creating potential openings for strategic investors AInvest. Meanwhile, projections for the market remain steady; analysts foresee house prices possibly growing but at a slower rate than before Norada Real EstateAInvest.

4. Premiums Persist in Top School Districts

While broader trends show moderation, homes in high-rated school districts continue to command hefty premiums—on average $1.21 million, or 135% above regional medians. Areas like Texas’s Carroll Independent School District ($2.16M, +391%), Laguna Beach Unified in California ($5M, +322%), and Reed Union near San Francisco ($4M) exemplify this trend New York Post. For families chasing education access, these markets remain fiercely competitive.


What It Means for Buyers, Sellers & Investors

Buyer’s Brief:

  • Where to look? Smaller cities and mid-size markets may offer more growth potential and affordability.

  • Choose your moment: More inventory and softening competition are giving buyers leverage—especially in previously overheated markets.

  • Mind the premiums: Top school zones still come with deep price tags. If school proximity isn’t a must, consider exploring nearby alternatives.

Seller’s Snapshot:

  • Set smart expectations: Slower sales and price adjustments are becoming more common, especially in South and West metros.

  • Highlight what matters: If your home boasts access to great schools, good mortgage terms, or energy-efficient upgrades, promoting those features can help differentiate.

Investor’s Insight:

  • Watch for the rate shift: If the Fed lowers rates in Q3, refinancing and acquisition opportunities may open up.

  • Eye growing markets: Investors looking for yield or growth may find better value in emerging markets outside coastal centers.


Final Thoughts

2025 is shaping up to be a nuanced housing year. The market is easing—but not crashing—thanks to rising inventory, persistent affordability strains, and shifting demand toward more affordable, often overlooked regions. Meanwhile, pockets of resilience like top school districts and rate-sensitive zones still command attention. Layer in the potential boost from expected mortgage rate cuts, and you’ve got a market that’s moving away from pandemic extremes toward a more considered and strategic landscape.

Let me know if you'd like a deeper dive into any of these trends—whether it’s regional snapshots, financing forecasts, or how proptech and AI are reshaping real estate dynamics.

Posted by Sheree Byrd on August 17th, 2025 7:14 PM

WASHINGTON (March 27, 2025) – Pending home sales improved 2.0% in February according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Northeast and West experienced month-over-month losses in transactions – with a larger decrease in the West – while the Midwest and South saw gains, which were greatest in the South. Year-over-year, contract signings dropped in all four U.S. regions, with the Midwest undergoing the greatest reduction.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – grew 2.0% to 72.0 in February. Year-over-year, pending transactions declined 3.6%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001.

"Despite the modest monthly increase, contract signings remain well below normal historical levels," said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. "A meaningful decline in mortgage rates would help both demand and supply – demand by boosting affordability, and supply by lessening the power of the mortgage rate lock-in effect."

NAR Quarterly Economic Forecast

"Considering the Federal Reserve's recent forecast for slower economic growth, we expect mortgage rates to slide moderately lower," said Yun. "But the current high national debt will prevent mortgage rates from falling drastically – and certainly not to the 4%-to-5% range seen during President Trump's first term."

NAR forecasts mortgage rates will average 6.4% in 2025 and 6.1% in 2026. The association expects existing-home sales will rise by 6% in 2025 and accelerate another 11% in 2026. The new-home sales market has plentiful inventory and, therefore, NAR anticipates it will rise by 10% in 2025 and another 5% in 2026. It predicts that the national median home price will increase by 3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026.

"Home price growth will moderate due to more supply coming onto the market," added Yun. "Having income and wages rise faster than home prices are welcome to improve affordability."

View NAR's Nationwide Forecast as of March 2025pdf. (NAR posts the latest quarterly economic forecast online at Research and Statistics under "Latest Housing Indicators.")

Pending Home Sales Regional Breakdown

The Northeast PHSI fell 0.9% from last month to 62.8, down 2.5% from February 2024. The Midwest index inched up 0.7% to 73.3 in February, down 4.7% from the previous year.

The South PHSI jumped 6.2% to 86.0 in February, down 3.4% from a year ago. The West index contracted by 3.0% from the prior month to 55.9, down 3.5% from February 2024.

About the National Association of REALTORS®

As America's largest trade association, the National Association of REALTORS® is involved in all aspects of residential and commercial real estate. The term REALTOR® is a registered collective membership mark that identifies a real estate professional who is a member of the National Association of REALTORS® and subscribes to its strict Code of Ethics. For free consumer guides about navigating the homebuying and selling transaction processes – from written buyer agreements to negotiating compensation – visit facts.realtor.

https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/pending-home-sales-advanced-2-0-in-february

Posted by Sheree Byrd on March 28th, 2025 11:17 PM

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